Choose Metric:

Probability of Reaching 300 Wins

Bill James' Favorite Toy


Rk Player Team Pos Age Prob EstLvl 2010 2009 2008 Yrs Career Needed
1 CC Sabathia NYY SP 29 33.0% 19.7 21 19 17 6.0 157 143
2 Roy Halladay PHI SP 33 11.4% 19.5 21 17 20 4.1 169 131
3 Justin Verlander DET SP 27 10.0% 17.2 18 19 11 7.6 83 217
4 Felix Hernandez SEA SP 24 9.2% 14.3 13 19 9 9.5 71 229
5 Jon Lester BOS SP 26 8.3% 17.2 19 15 16 8.1 61 239
6 Tim Lincecum SFG SP 26 4.9% 16.0 16 15 18 8.4 56 244
7 Ubaldo Jimenez COL SP 26 3.7% 16.5 19 15 12 8.1 50 250
8 Trevor Cahill OAK SP 22 2.6% 13.5 18 10 10.6 28 272
9 Adam Wainwright STL SP 28 2.0% 18.2 20 19 11 6.7 66 234
10 Jamie Moyer PHI SP 47 0.8% 11.2 9 12 16 1.5 267 33
11 Andy Pettitte NYY SP 38 0.0% 12.5 11 14 14 1.5 240 60
12 Tim Wakefield BOS SP 43 0.0% 7.3 4 11 10 1.5 193 107
13 Livan Hernandez WAS SP 35 0.0% 10.2 10 9 13 2.8 166 134
14 Tim Hudson ATL SP 34 0.0% 12.8 17 2 11 3.0 165 135
15 Kevin Millwood BAL SP 35 0.0% 7.8 4 13 9 2.7 159 141
16 Derek Lowe ATL SP 37 0.0% 15.3 16 15 14 1.8 157 143
17 Javier Vazquez NYY SP 33 0.0% 12.0 10 15 12 3.6 152 148
18 Roy Oswalt HOU/PHI SP 32 0.0% 12.0 13 8 17 4.3 150 150
19 Mark Buehrle CHW SP 31 0.0% 13.3 13 13 15 5.2 148 152
20 Mike Hampton ARI RP 37 0.0% 2.8 0 7 3 1.5 148 152
21 Barry Zito SFG SP 32 0.0% 9.5 9 10 10 4.7 142 158
22 Jeff Suppan MIL/STL SP 35 0.0% 5.5 3 7 10 2.7 138 162
23 Chris Carpenter STL SP 35 0.0% 13.7 16 17 0 2.9 133 167
24 Freddy Garcia CHW SP 33 0.0% 9.0 12 3 1 3.8 133 167
25 Johan Santana NYM SP 31 0.0% 12.5 11 13 16 5.2 133 167
Page: 1 , 2 , 3 ... 50