Choose Metric:

Probability of Reaching 300 Wins

Bill James' Favorite Toy


Rk Player Team Pos Age Prob EstLvl 1990 1989 1988 Yrs Career Needed
1 Nolan Ryan* TEX SP 43 100.0% 13.8 13 16 12 1.5 302 0
2 Bert Blyleven CAL SP 39 31.0% 11.3 8 17 10 1.5 279 21
3 Roger Clemens* BOS SP 27 25.6% 19.2 21 17 18 7.3 116 184
4 Dwight Gooden NYM SP 25 23.9% 15.5 19 9 18 8.6 119 181
5 Bob Welch OAK SP 33 17.5% 22.0 27 17 17 3.8 176 124
6 Greg Maddux* CHC SP 24 16.4% 16.8 15 19 18 9.5 60 240
7 Frank Viola NYM SP 30 16.1% 18.3 20 13 24 5.9 137 163
8 Ramon Martinez LAD SP 22 8.4% 15.0 20 6 1 10.6 27 273
9 Doug Drabek PIT SP 27 6.9% 18.2 22 14 15 7.2 69 231
10 Dave Stieb TOR SP 32 4.8% 17.3 18 17 16 4.2 166 134
11 Bret Saberhagen KCR SP 26 0.9% 12.5 5 23 14 8.3 97 203
12 Jerry Reuss PIT SP 41 0.0% 5.2 0 9 13 1.5 220 80
13 Rick Reuschel SFG SP 41 0.0% 10.3 3 17 19 1.5 214 86
14 Frank Tanana DET SP 36 0.0% 10.2 9 10 14 1.8 207 93
15 Jack Morris DET SP 35 0.0% 12.0 15 6 15 2.9 198 102
16 Charlie Hough TEX SP 42 0.0% 11.8 12 10 15 1.5 186 114
17 John Candelaria MIN/TOR RP 36 0.0% 6.7 7 3 13 2.0 174 126
18 Dennis Eckersley OAK RP 35 0.0% 4.0 4 4 4 2.6 169 131
19 Mike Flanagan TOR SP 38 0.0% 5.8 2 8 13 1.5 165 135
20 Dennis Martinez MON SP 36 0.0% 12.8 10 16 15 2.3 163 137
21 Bob Knepper SFG SP 36 0.0% 6.2 3 7 14 2.3 146 154
22 Fernando Valenzuela LAD SP 29 0.0% 10.7 13 10 5 6.2 141 159
23 Jim Clancy HOU RP 34 0.0% 5.2 2 7 11 3.3 137 163
24 Rick Sutcliffe CHC SP 34 0.0% 7.5 0 16 13 3.6 133 167
25 Mike Scott HOU SP 35 0.0% 13.5 9 20 14 2.9 124 176
Page: 1 , 2 , 3 ... 42