Choose Metric:

Probability of Reaching 500 Homeruns

Bill James' Favorite Toy


Rk Player Team Pos Age Prob EstLvl 1905 1904 1903 Yrs Career Needed
1 Hugh Duffy PHI RF 38 0.0% 0.0 0 0 1.5 106 394
2 Jake Beckley STL 1B 37 0.0% 1.2 1 1 2 1.5 86 414
3 Buck Freeman BOS 1B 33 0.0% 6.0 3 7 13 3.8 80 420
4 Bill Dahlen NYG SS 35 0.0% 5.3 7 2 1 2.7 78 422
5 Jesse Burkett BOS LF 36 0.0% 3.2 4 2 3 2.1 75 425
6 George Davis CHW SS 34 0.0% 0.8 1 1 0 3.1 72 428
7 Bobby Lowe DET 3B 39 0.0% 0.0 0 0 0 1.5 70 430
8 Nap Lajoie CLE 2B 30 0.0% 4.2 2 6 7 5.5 68 432
9 Jimmy Collins BOS 3B 35 0.0% 3.8 4 3 5 2.7 64 436
10 Joe Kelley CIN LF 33 0.0% 1.0 1 0 3 3.9 62 438
11 Fred Clarke PIT LF 32 0.0% 1.8 2 0 5 4.4 52 448
12 Duke Farrell BOS C 38 0.0% 0.0 0 0 0 1.5 51 449
13 Charlie Hickman DET/WAS 2B 29 0.0% 6.0 4 6 12 6.5 47 453
14 Honus Wagner PIT SS 31 0.0% 5.2 6 4 5 5.2 47 453
15 John Anderson NYY/WAS RF 31 0.0% 1.8 1 3 2 5.1 46 454
16 Lave Cross PHA 3B 39 0.0% 0.7 0 1 2 1.5 46 454
17 Harry Davis PHA 1B 31 0.0% 8.3 8 10 6 4.8 44 456
18 Deacon McGuire NYY C 41 0.0% 0.0 0 0 0 1.5 44 456
19 Kip Selbach BOS RF 33 0.0% 3.0 4 0 3 4.0 44 456
20 Elmer Flick CLE RF 29 0.0% 4.3 4 6 2 6.3 43 457
21 Socks Seybold PHA RF 34 0.0% 5.3 6 3 8 3.2 41 459
22 Jimmy Williams NYY 2B 28 0.0% 4.5 6 2 3 6.9 40 460
23 Sam Crawford DET RF 25 0.0% 4.5 6 2 4 8.9 39 461
24 Candy LaChance BOS 1B 35 0.0% 0.5 0 1 1 2.8 39 461
25 Sam Mertes NYG LF 32 0.0% 5.0 5 4 7 4.3 39 461
Page: 1 , 2 , 3 ... 16