Choose Metric:

Probability of Reaching 300 Wins

Bill James' Favorite Toy


Rk Player Team Pos Age Prob EstLvl 1996 1995 1994 Yrs Career Needed
1 Greg Maddux* ATL SP 30 21.8% 16.5 15 19 16 5.9 165 135
2 Mike Mussina BAL SP 27 15.7% 18.5 19 19 16 7.5 90 210
3 John Smoltz ATL SP 29 13.1% 18.0 24 12 6 6.5 114 186
4 Andy Pettitte NYY SP 24 6.5% 15.8 21 12 9.6 33 267
5 Ramon Martinez LAD SP 28 5.0% 15.2 15 17 12 7.0 106 194
6 Tom Glavine* ATL SP 30 4.4% 15.0 15 16 13 5.8 139 161
7 Dennis Martinez CLE SP 42 0.0% 10.3 9 12 11 1.5 240 60
8 Roger Clemens* BOS SP 33 0.0% 9.8 10 10 9 3.7 192 108
9 Dennis Eckersley STL RP 41 0.0% 2.2 0 4 5 1.5 192 108
10 Frank Viola TOR SP 36 0.0% 0.8 1 0 1 2.3 176 124
11 Mark Langston CAL SP 35 0.0% 9.2 6 15 7 2.5 172 128
12 Fernando Valenzuela SDP SP 35 0.0% 9.8 13 8 1 2.6 171 129
13 Dwight Gooden NYY SP 31 0.0% 8.3 11 3 5.0 168 132
14 Orel Hershiser CLE SP 37 0.0% 13.8 15 16 6 1.5 165 135
15 Jimmy Key NYY SP 35 0.0% 9.2 12 1 17 2.9 164 136
16 Scott Sanderson CAL SP 39 0.0% 1.7 0 1 8 1.5 163 137
17 Danny Darwin PIT/HOU SP 40 0.0% 7.5 10 3 7 1.5 158 142
18 Kevin Gross TEX SP 35 0.0% 10.0 11 9 9 3.0 140 160
19 Doug Drabek HOU SP 33 0.0% 8.8 7 10 12 3.6 137 163
20 David Cone NYY SP 33 0.0% 12.2 7 18 16 3.9 136 164
21 Mark Gubicza KCR SP 33 0.0% 7.2 4 12 7 3.7 132 168
22 Chuck Finley CAL SP 33 0.0% 14.2 15 15 10 3.8 129 171
23 Tom Candiotti LAD SP 38 0.0% 8.0 9 7 7 1.5 126 174
24 Jack McDowell CLE SP 30 0.0% 13.2 13 15 10 5.7 119 181
25 John Smiley CIN SP 31 0.0% 12.3 13 12 11 5.2 115 185
Page: 1 , 2 , 3 ... 46