Choose Metric:

Probability of Reaching 500 Homeruns

Bill James' Favorite Toy


Rk Player Team Pos Age Prob EstLvl 1924 1923 1922 Yrs Career Needed
1 Babe Ruth* NYY RF 29 75.2% 42.5 46 41 35 6.4 284 216
2 Cy Williams PHI CF 36 0.0% 30.0 24 41 26 2.1 173 327
3 Rogers Hornsby STL 2B 28 0.0% 25.2 25 17 42 7.1 141 359
4 Ken Williams SLB LF 34 0.0% 25.2 18 29 39 3.6 126 374
5 Zack Wheat BRO LF 36 0.0% 12.3 14 8 16 2.3 112 388
6 Harry Heilmann DET RF 29 0.0% 14.5 10 18 21 6.1 99 401
7 Ty Cobb DET CF 37 0.0% 4.7 4 6 4 1.5 95 405
8 Jack Fournier BRO 1B 34 0.0% 22.5 27 22 10 3.1 93 407
9 Tris Speaker CLE CF 36 0.0% 12.0 9 17 11 2.3 93 407
10 High Pockets Kelly NYG 1B 28 0.0% 18.7 21 16 17 6.7 90 410
11 Irish Meusel NYG LF 31 0.0% 12.0 6 19 16 5.4 78 422
12 Wally Pipp NYY 1B 31 0.0% 8.0 9 6 9 5.2 77 423
13 Bob Meusel NYY LF 27 0.0% 11.7 12 9 16 7.2 72 428
14 Harry Hooper CHW RF 36 0.0% 10.2 10 10 11 1.9 69 431
15 George Sisler SLB 1B 31 0.0% 6.8 9 8 5.2 69 431
16 Bobby Veach BOS LF 36 0.0% 4.7 5 2 9 2.4 64 436
17 Max Carey PIT CF 34 0.0% 7.7 8 6 10 3.3 62 438
18 Casey Stengel BSN RF 33 0.0% 5.3 5 5 7 3.6 60 440
19 Baby Doll Jacobson SLB CF 33 0.0% 14.3 19 8 9 3.7 59 441
20 Jack Tobin SLB RF 32 0.0% 7.5 2 13 13 4.7 59 441
21 Jake Daubert CIN 1B 40 0.0% 3.2 1 2 12 1.5 56 444
22 George Burns CLE 1B 31 0.0% 6.3 4 7 12 5.2 53 447
23 Joe Hauser PHA 1B 25 0.0% 20.7 27 17 9 8.7 53 447
24 Bing Miller PHA RF 29 0.0% 10.5 6 12 21 6.1 48 452
25 Tommy Griffith BRO RF 34 0.0% 4.8 3 8 4 3.2 45 455
Page: 1 , 2 , 3 ... 22