Choose Metric:

Probability of Reaching 300 Wins

Bill James' Favorite Toy


Rk Player Team Pos Age Prob EstLvl 1913 1912 1911 Yrs Career Needed
1 Christy Mathewson* NYG SP 32 100.0% 24.5 25 23 26 4.3 337 0
2 Walter Johnson* WAS SP 25 87.2% 33.2 36 33 25 8.6 151 149
3 Eddie Plank* PHA SP 37 54.0% 21.5 18 26 23 1.5 269 31
4 Smoky Joe Wood BOS SP 23 47.3% 20.7 11 34 23 9.8 92 208
5 Chief Bender PHA SP 29 42.7% 17.7 21 13 17 6.5 176 124
6 Rube Marquard NYG SP 26 38.3% 24.2 23 26 24 8.0 82 218
7 Pete Alexander* PHI SP 26 28.1% 22.0 22 19 28 8.2 69 231
8 Ed Walsh CHW SP 32 25.1% 17.5 8 27 27 4.7 190 110
9 Tom Seaton PHI SP 25 17.0% 20.3 27 16 8.5 43 257
10 Vean Gregg CLE SP 28 11.2% 20.5 20 20 23 7.1 63 237
11 Nap Rucker BRO SP 28 11.2% 16.7 14 18 22 6.8 116 184
12 Larry Cheney CHC SP 27 9.1% 19.3 21 26 1 7.7 48 252
13 Claude Hendrix PIT SP 24 7.5% 15.7 14 24 4 9.5 42 258
14 Jeff Tesreau NYG SP 25 6.2% 16.7 22 17 8.8 39 261
15 Reb Russell CHW SP 24 5.9% 16.5 22 9.4 22 278
16 Jim Scott CHW SP 25 4.6% 15.0 20 2 14 8.9 56 244
17 Bob Groom WAS SP 28 3.6% 18.2 16 24 13 6.7 72 228
18 Ray Collins BOS SP 26 3.3% 15.7 19 13 11 8.2 60 240
19 Slim Sallee STL SP 28 2.4% 17.3 19 16 15 7.0 70 230
20 Hugh Bedient BOS SP 23 2.3% 14.2 15 20 9.8 35 265
21 Bob Harmon STL SP 25 1.1% 13.8 8 18 23 8.6 68 232
22 Clark Griffith WAS RP 43 0.0% 0.0 0 0 1.5 237 63
23 George Mullin DET/WAS SP 32 0.0% 9.0 4 12 18 4.2 212 88
24 Mordecai Brown CIN SP 36 0.0% 10.7 11 5 21 2.0 206 94
25 Doc White CHW SP 34 0.0% 5.3 2 8 10 3.5 189 111
Page: 1 , 2 , 3 ... 24