| Committees | Era | Upcoming |
|---|---|---|
| Today's Game | 1988-Pres | 2018, 2021, 2023 |
| Modern Baseball | 1970-1987 | 2017, 2019, 2022 |
| Golden Days | 1950-1969 | 2020, 2025, 2030 |
| Early Baseball | 1871-1949 | 2020, 2030, 2040 |
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Active Players
Probability of Hall of Fame
| Rk | Player | Team | Pos | Age | Prob | EstLvl | 2017 | 2016 | 2015 | Yrs | Career | Needed | HOFer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Albert Pujols | LAA | 1B | 37 | 100.0% | 0.2 | -1.5 | 1.4 | 3.1 | 1.5 | 99.6 | 0.0 | 66.3 |
| 2 | Adrian Beltre | TEX | 3B | 38 | 100.0% | 5.1 | 3.5 | 6.5 | 5.8 | 1.5 | 93.8 | 0.0 | 66.7 |
| 3 | Miguel Cabrera | DET | 1B | 34 | 100.0% | 2.2 | -0.7 | 4.9 | 5.2 | 3.5 | 68.8 | 0.0 | 66.3 |
| 4 | Robinson Cano | SEA | 2B | 34 | 97.8% | 4.8 | 3.2 | 7.3 | 3.4 | 3.2 | 65.6 | 3.6 | 69.2 |
| 5 | Joe Mauer | MIN | C | 34 | 94.8% | 2.7 | 3.2 | 2.3 | 1.5 | 3.5 | 53.3 | 4.8 | 58.1 |
| 6 | Mike Trout | LAA | CF | 25 | 94.3% | 8.5 | 6.1 | 10.5 | 9.4 | 8.5 | 54.6 | 16.3 | 70.9 |
| 7 | Joey Votto | CIN | 1B | 33 | 94.2% | 6.2 | 6.8 | 4.0 | 7.6 | 3.7 | 54.1 | 12.3 | 66.3 |
| 8 | Zack Greinke | ARI | SP | 33 | 94.0% | 6.1 | 6.7 | 2.6 | 9.9 | 3.8 | 61.1 | 12.4 | 73.6 |
| 9 | Clayton Kershaw | LAD | SP | 29 | 92.7% | 5.8 | 4.7 | 5.9 | 7.5 | 6.4 | 59.1 | 14.4 | 73.6 |
| 10 | Jose Altuve | HOU | 2B | 27 | 84.9% | 7.5 | 7.8 | 7.6 | 4.5 | 7.7 | 29.1 | 40.1 | 69.2 |
| 11 | Nolan Arenado | COL | 3B | 26 | 83.5% | 6.7 | 6.7 | 6.6 | 5.8 | 8.3 | 26.9 | 39.8 | 66.7 |
| 12 | Mookie Betts | BOS | RF | 24 | 82.1% | 7.4 | 5.9 | 9.5 | 6.0 | 9.2 | 23.6 | 47.9 | 71.4 |
| 13 | Buster Posey | SFG | C | 30 | 80.3% | 4.6 | 3.8 | 4.6 | 6.1 | 5.8 | 37.3 | 20.8 | 58.1 |
| 14 | Manny Machado | BAL | 3B | 24 | 77.4% | 5.5 | 3.7 | 6.7 | 7.1 | 9.0 | 28.1 | 38.5 | 66.7 |
| 15 | Kris Bryant | CHC | 3B | 25 | 72.4% | 6.7 | 5.7 | 7.7 | 5.9 | 8.7 | 19.3 | 47.4 | 66.7 |
| 16 | Paul Goldschmidt | ARI | 1B | 29 | 70.6% | 6.2 | 5.9 | 4.8 | 8.8 | 6.1 | 34.8 | 31.5 | 66.3 |
| 17 | Evan Longoria | TBR | 3B | 31 | 62.0% | 3.8 | 3.6 | 3.9 | 3.2 | 5.0 | 50.0 | 16.6 | 66.7 |
| 18 | Josh Donaldson | TOR | 3B | 31 | 58.5% | 6.4 | 4.4 | 7.5 | 8.8 | 5.1 | 36.9 | 29.8 | 66.7 |
| 19 | Carlos Correa | HOU | SS | 22 | 57.9% | 5.4 | 5.0 | 6.0 | 4.1 | 10.3 | 15.1 | 51.6 | 66.7 |
| 20 | Andrelton Simmons | LAA | SS | 27 | 56.9% | 5.6 | 6.7 | 4.2 | 4.0 | 7.3 | 28.2 | 38.5 | 66.7 |
| 21 | Justin Verlander | DET/HOU | SP | 34 | 54.7% | 5.5 | 5.5 | 6.6 | 2.2 | 3.4 | 55.7 | 17.9 | 73.6 |
| 22 | Max Scherzer | WAS | SP | 32 | 52.8% | 7.0 | 6.7 | 6.3 | 7.6 | 4.2 | 44.7 | 28.9 | 73.6 |
| 23 | Giancarlo Stanton | MIA | RF | 27 | 52.3% | 5.1 | 6.8 | 2.5 | 3.7 | 7.4 | 34.3 | 37.1 | 71.4 |
| 24 | Francisco Lindor | CLE | SS | 23 | 51.3% | 5.3 | 4.9 | 5.7 | 4.6 | 9.8 | 15.2 | 51.5 | 66.7 |
| 25 | Anthony Rizzo | CHC | 1B | 27 | 50.7% | 5.5 | 4.7 | 5.8 | 6.2 | 7.3 | 26.4 | 39.9 | 66.3 |
bWAR data courtesy of Baseball-Reference.com
Methodology
When determining the average career WAR for a position, an adjustment is made that is similar to the JAWS system. So that all positions are equal to the position with the most Hall of Famers, the average career WAR is regressed towards the overall average of all position players. The degree in which a position is regressed is determined by how many players that position is short of the position with the most Hall of Famers. This adjustment is only made for position players.
For example, there are currently 15 catchers in the Hall of Fame, which is 9 players short of the position with the most players (RF). The adjustment will find the average of the 15 catchers AND 9 average Hall of Fame position players to determine the adjusted average Hall of Fame catcher.